TRANSCEND - Transformation Decisions for the Adaptation and Sustainability of Cities in the Face of Environmental and Socio-economic Change
|Fachgebiet: Geographische Gesellschaft-Umwelt-Forschung
Gefördert durch: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF)
Projektleitung: Prof. Dr. Matthias Garschagen, Dr. Jan Petzold
Projektwissenschaftler: M.Sc. Deepal Doshi, M.Sc. Mia Wannewitz, M.Sc. Veronika Zwirglmaier
Laufzeit: 11/2019 - 11/2024
Urban climate risk is a growing problem as it is driven by the confluence of two megatrends within global change: urbanization and climate change. The viability of the prevailing physical and institutional modes of organizing urban human-environment relations will therefore be increasingly challenged, calling for adaptation and fundamental transformation in the ways urban risk is governed. However, it remains poorly understood how urban vulnerability and risk trajectories will develop at the city and sub-city scale, how different adaptation options can be evaluated and whether fundamental transformations are necessary to secure cities’ successful adaptation and long-term sustainability in the face of global change. TRANSCEND aims to find scientific and practical answers to these questions. Applying a transdisciplinary approach, the project is composed of three interlocking work streams: (1) An integrated model will be developed which combines the assessment of future hazard trends with scenarios of future urban development and vulnerability at sub-city scale. (2) The range of adaptation options will be identified and evaluated in close cooperation with practical partners, against a novel multi-criteria framework developed within the project. (3) Decision-support tools for the analysis and guidance of risk governance, balancing the interests in multi-stakeholder urban contexts, will be developed. While Mumbai and Jakarta, two of the most rapidly growing and hazard exposed cities globally, will form the two pilot cities for the method development and analysis, the project aims to develop transferable tools whose application in other high-risk cities will be facilitated through multiplier activities in South and Southeast Asia and beyond.